Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 2.892077 3.043220 3.202267 3.382850 3.583125 3.799522 4.052510
2025-04-20 2.652999 2.860345 3.088867 3.362015 3.683227 4.053734 4.520791
2025-04-27 2.479804 2.727281 3.010764 3.365109 3.804700 4.344735 5.080469
2025-05-04 2.365434 2.648799 2.985168 3.424050 3.998525 4.752986 5.875698
2025-05-11 2.243908 2.549849 2.923882 3.430166 4.125390 5.097704 6.680184
2025-05-18 2.124901 2.443543 2.842667 3.399984 4.198193 5.381290 7.486087
2025-05-25 1.988686 2.305418 2.708788 3.284428 4.134279 5.450073 7.964157
2025-06-01 1.892321 2.211819 2.625716 3.230008 4.151739 5.649994 8.766223
2025-06-08 1.815602 2.138713 2.564162 3.199248 4.199996 5.911011 9.823388
2025-06-15 1.759086 2.088617 2.529839 3.203937 4.304014 6.294661 11.405144
2025-06-22 1.684706 2.010244 2.450737 3.133798 4.274379 6.419602 12.418399
2025-06-29 1.608888 1.926304 2.358935 3.036775 4.187135 6.412229 13.058309
2025-07-06 1.529657 1.838697 2.263500 2.937246 4.103067 6.436951 14.034021
2025-07-13 1.490978 1.805629 2.245172 2.958890 4.242078 6.999150 17.941959
2025-07-20 1.457340 1.777944 2.233048 2.989894 4.406310 7.698422 24.747899
2025-07-27 1.435537 1.765826 2.243242 3.059342 4.661501 8.779523 42.482519
2025-08-03 1.403548 1.737319 2.226509 3.080930 4.824575 9.717483 84.569844
2025-08-10 1.366189 1.699149 2.192369 3.068379 4.912343 10.489337 260.444472
2025-08-17 1.315210 1.638835 2.120255 2.981075 4.816140 10.546291 861.799410
2025-08-24 1.277921 1.597407 2.076057 2.941715 4.827588 11.060198 NaN
2025-08-31 1.246894 1.564074 2.043027 2.920349 4.879588 11.810935 NaN
2025-09-07 1.223678 1.541484 2.026029 2.927697 5.005396 13.062524 NaN
2025-09-14 1.189327 1.500811 1.977594 2.870621 4.955714 13.377827 NaN